TMG Think Tank for Sustainability

Assessment and Communication of Climate Impacts of Food (CLIF)

Developing a systematic understanding of food systems transformation and future pathways

"Food systems can and must play a leading role in addressing all of the challenges to realize the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030 "

- António Guterres, United Nations Secretary-General, at the Food Systems Summit 2021

In just a few years, 'food systems transformation' has become a widely used term in the food and agriculture sector, gaining significant global attention, particularly at the 2021 UN Food Systems Summit. Its importance cannot be overstated, as it brings together several areas that are critical to the future well-being of people and the environment. Food systems provide the foundation for global food security, nutrition, and livelihoods of almost eight billion people. At the same time, current unsustainable food systems are driving several intersecting social, ecological and health crises of global concern, and jeopardizing progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals. The persistent and growing issues of hunger, food-borne diseases, poverty, environmental degradation, and climate change call for a fundamental transformation of food systems. 

However, despite increasing international attention and calls for food systems transformation, it remains unclear what transformation means in different contexts, how it can be achieved and how seeming trade-offs between policies or various sustainability goals can be overcome. As the term becomes increasingly overused, it risks losing its clarity and focus, with little consensus on its specific goals or the pathways to achieve them. 

TMG aims to address these challenges by contributing to a systemic understanding of food systems transformation. As part of the Assessment and Communication of Climate Impacts of Food(CLIF) project, coordinated by WWF and funded through the International Climate Initiative (IKI) of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Nuclear Safety and Consumer Protection (BMUV), we developed a series of reports. This FORESEE (4C) series  explores the intersections between food systems and four critical crises: Climate, (Post-)Covid, Conflict, and Costs. 

Our approach: 

  • Comprehensive review of international food systems literature and conferences and analysis of political and conceptual frameworks

  • Workshops with the CLIF Expert Advisory Group, consisting of a multi-disciplinary group of international experts with diverse backgrounds, including social and political sciences, food security, agriculture, health and nutrition, human rights, Indigenous Peoples, trade, food economics, biotechnology, climate change, natural resource management and biodiversity 

  • Online Expert Consultations and international debates 

The results: 

In our report series, we propose a set of actionable approaches to achieving meaningful change of agri-food systems.  Some highlights of our report series: 

Using a decision-support tool to guide the transformation: To ascertain the agents ("who") and drivers ("what") pivotal for the successful transformation of agri-food systems we developed the  Agri-food Systems Transformation Protocol. It serves as a decision-support tool at the strategic and operational level to guide diverse actors in the development of systemic solutions for sustainable agri-food systems. The Protocol proposes a four-stage and nine-step iterative process that can guide the development of transformation pathways in different contexts and at different levels of implementation.

Establishing a multi-level governance framework: Acknowledging the lack of international consensus on driving factors of Food Systems Transformation and the necessary agents supporting its implementation globally, we advocate for a  multi-level governance framework, incorporating global agreements (primarily the three Rio Conventions - CBD, UNCCD, and UNFCCC), national pathways, and local implementation. As stewards of the environmental pillar of the 2030 Agenda, the Rio Conventions can play a stronger role in steering food systems transformation by jointly monitoring agri-food systems' impacts, issuing annual reports, and recommending pathways to meet international targets in collaboration with Member States. Our proposal is detailed in an open letter to the heads of the three conventions.

Uncovering and tackling hidden costs: Addressing hidden costs is crucial for sustainable food systems transformation. Economic systems often privatize profits while externalizing costs, such as environmental damage and rising healthcare expenses. These hidden costs, exceeding USD 10 trillion annually according to the  FAO’s SOFA 2023  and 2024 report (informed by our  background paper), surpass the global GDP contribution of food systems, highlighting a destructive imbalance. True Cost Accounting (TCA) integrates economic, environmental, social, and health factors into decision-making, fostering sustainable development. Our fifth report outlines pathways such as Beyond GDP frameworks, sustainability reporting, public procurement, and consumer labelling to embed TCA in policies and practices, aligning food systems with sustainable economic models.

Project Name
Assessment and Communication of Climate Impacts of Food (CLIF)
Duration
2021-2024
FORESEE (4C) Report 5: Changing the Equation: Leveraging True Cost Accounting to Accelerate Agri-food Systems Transformation

Report

FORESEE (4C) Report 5: Changing the Equation: Leveraging True Cost Accounting to Accelerate Agri-food Systems Transformation

This report promotes True Cost Accounting to reveal hidden environmental, social, and health costs in agri-food systems.

Written by Lisa Klaus, Olivia Riemer, Alexander Müller

Published on Oct 31, 2024

FORESEE (4C) Report 4: The Agri-Food Systems Transformation Protocol - Mapping Agents and Drivers of Transformation

Report

FORESEE (4C) Report 4: The Agri-Food Systems Transformation Protocol - Mapping Agents and Drivers of Transformation

Exploring key actors and catalysts for agri-food systems transformation.

Written by Tavseef Mairaj Shah, Olivia Riemer, Nadia El-Hage Scialabba, Alexander Müller

Published on Dec 04, 2023

Joint Conclusions

Report

Joint Conclusions

Key messages on food systems transformation from the expert workshop hosted by TMG Research in Rome, June 2023

Written by CLIF Team

Published on Jul 12, 2023

Open letter to Heads of the three Rio Conventions

Declaration

Open letter to Heads of the three Rio Conventions

A call to systemically address agri-food sector externalities in global environmental governance

Written by Alexander Müller

Published on May 22, 2023

FORESEE (4C) Summary Report: The Transformation of Agri-Food Systems in Times of Multiple Crises

Report

FORESEE (4C) Summary Report: The Transformation of Agri-Food Systems in Times of Multiple Crises

Exploring equitable, healthy, resilient and sustainable pathways for agri-food transformation. This is a summary of the FORESEE (4C) series: Reports 1, 2, and 3.

Written by Tavseef Mairaj Shah, Olivia Riemer

Published on Apr 03, 2023

FORESEE (4C) Report 3: Blindspots in the Debate on Agri-Food System Transformation

Report

FORESEE (4C) Report 3: Blindspots in the Debate on Agri-Food System Transformation

Analysing blind spots in the debate around agri-food systems transformation and how to address them.

Written by Patrick Caron, Maureen Gitagia, Michael Hamm, Ulrich Hoffman, Elizabeth Kimani-Murage, Tania Martinez-Cruz, Kathleen Merrigan, Pat Mooney, Olivia Riemer, Nadia El Hage Scialabba, Tavseef Mairaj Shah

Published on Apr 03, 2023